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I'm the Captain Now
Mr. Covers makes his long awaited return
Welcome back, ladies and gentlemen! Mr. Editor has been, and is currently taking, a much-needed break from writing. He will return down the road, but I'm the captain for now.
Until further notice, I will mainly be covering betting with some random analysis from the NFL, NHL, or wherever I see fit here and there. Snagged Sports will also be in much shorter, digestable editions for the foreseeable future. For now, I will start off with just Monday, Wednesday, and Friday sends, and we will see what we can do from there.
🏈 NFL: Broncos +10.5 vs. Chiefs
Looking at Thursday Night Football, this pick is disgusting, it's heinous, and it makes no sense whatsoever to the naked eye, but that makes me love it even more.
From a historical standpoint, Patrick Mahomes is not great at covering big numbers. He is just barely above 50% overall and has a sub 40% record ATS as a favorite of 3 points or more. Although Mahomes has never lost (11-0) to the Broncos, he is just 6-5 ATS against them. I am going to play the system here and expect a backdoor cover from the Russell Wilson led Denver Broncos.
🏒 NHL: Winnipeg vs. Calgary Under 6.5 goals
This is a line where the books are not in midseason form yet, whereas I always am.
If this game were in the middle of January then this total is likely 6 or even 5.5. Last year, these teams were combined 63-94 on overs, only covering at an even 40%. Last year, a lot of these two teams' totals were also down near 5.5 with some even at 5 goals.
I think we are getting an absolute gift from the books here, and I would jump on this as ASAP as possible. As long as Connor Hellebuyck is in goal for the Jets, there won't be many goals. Jacob Markstrom will let 2 or 3 in at the most, but this is going to be a low-scoring affair.
🏒 NHL: Stars -200 vs. Blues + Stars -1.5
This is a boots-on-the-ground play; it does break my rule of not giving out picks that are less than -200, but a season opener with boots on the ground must be given out!
The Stars are at worst a top-8 team, and the Blues are at best a middle-tier team. The Stars were also a different team at home last year versus when they were on the road. I think the Stars win this easily, and it wouldn't surprise me if an empty netter covers the spread.
Until next time 🫡